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Betting on basketball over and under, also known as totals, is a popular wager in the sports betting world. Instead of betting on which team will win the game, you are betting on whether the total combined score of both teams will be over or under a certain number set by the sportsbook.
Understanding how to bet on basketball totals can be both fun and profitable if done correctly. In this article, we will provide you with all the information you need to know to start betting on basketball over and under.
1. Understand How Over/Under Betting Works
Before you start betting on basketball totals, it’s crucial to understand how over/under betting works. When you see betting odds for a basketball game, you will typically see a line that looks something like this:
Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Over 215.5 (-110)
Under 215.5 (-110)
In this example, the sportsbook has set the total points scored in the game at 215.5. If you believe the total points scored by both teams will be 216 or more, you would bet the over. If you believe the total points scored will be 215 or fewer, you would bet the under.
2. Factors to Consider When Betting on Basketball Totals
There are several factors to consider when betting on basketball over and under. Here are some key factors to keep in mind:
– Pace: The pace of play can have a significant impact on the total points scored in a game. Some teams play at a fast pace, leading to higher-scoring games, while others play at a slower pace, resulting in lower-scoring games.
– Offensive and defensive efficiency: Analyzing the offensive and defensive efficiency of each team can give you valuable insights into how many points they are likely to score and allow in a game.
– Injuries: Key injuries to star players can impact a team’s scoring ability, which can affect the total points scored in a game.
– Matchup history: Looking at the previous matchups between two teams can give you an idea of how high or low-scoring their games typically are.
– Over/under trends: Taking note of over/under trends for specific teams or matchups can help you make more informed decisions when betting on basketball totals.
3. Pay Attention to Line Movement
Before placing your bet on a basketball total, it’s essential to pay attention to line movement. Sportsbooks adjust the total points line based on the amount of money wagered on each side. If you see the line move significantly in one direction, it may indicate sharp bettors or the public betting heavily on that side.
4. Use Advanced Statistics and Analytics
Utilizing advanced statistics and analytics can give you an edge when betting on basketball totals. Metrics such as offensive and defensive ratings, pace, and effective field goal percentage can help you make more informed decisions when predicting the total points scored in a game.
5. Manage Your Bankroll Wisely
Like any form of sports betting, it’s crucial to manage your bankroll wisely when betting on basketball over and under. Set a budget for your bets and stick to it to avoid chasing losses and potentially getting into financial trouble.
6. Shop Around for the Best Odds
Shopping around for the best odds on basketball totals can significantly impact your overall profitability. Different sportsbooks may offer slightly different lines, so it’s essential to compare odds across multiple platforms to ensure you are getting the best value for your bets.
7. Consider Betting Systems and Strategies
There are several betting systems and strategies you can use when betting on basketball totals. From following trends to using a regression model, finding a system that works for you can help improve your chances of success when betting on over and under.
8. Keep Emotions in Check
Maintaining emotional control is essential when betting on basketball totals. It’s easy to get caught up in the excitement of a game and make impulsive decisions based on your emotions. Sticking to a strategy and making calculated bets can help you avoid making costly mistakes.
In conclusion, betting on basketball over and under can be a fun and profitable way to add excitement to the game. By understanding how total points betting works, considering key factors, and utilizing advanced statistics and analytics, you can increase your chances of success when betting on basketball totals. Remember to manage your bankroll wisely, shop around for the best odds, and stay disciplined in your approach to maximize your potential profits.
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